The narrative vs. the numbers on the 2026 generic ballot
14 weeks of polling, three forecasters, and the three numbers that actually matter.
Read →The archive · 27 episodes
Every DandyDon episode.
Newsletters, videos, and the occasional long-form essay. Sorted newest first. Filter by format if you want.
Newsletters
+13 is not a fluke: what special election overperformance really tells us
The most predictive tool we have, and the three caveats nobody mentions.
Read →The Desk Set, 60 years later
A 1957 Hepburn–Tracy workplace comedy about a "thinking machine." What it got right about AI isn't the part we talk about.
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Why the "mortgage rate floor" narrative is being sold to you
Bankrate, the Fed, and a real estate industry that wants a 7-handle to feel inevitable. We pull the MBS data.
Read →Videos
Iran: Not The Shah
A walk through the actual Iranian protest data, casualty counts, and diaspora reporting.
Watch →
The "SEO Q" — what creators get wrong about being quotable
Field notes from 6 months of testing what makes a quote spread vs. what makes it ignored.
Watch →Long-form essays
Deeper reads published roughly once a month. Same standard: every claim links to a primary source.
The receipts economy: how to build an audience that trusts you
A long-form look at the publishing model that doesn't require you to sell anything but the truth.
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